Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 3
Sunday, September 5, 2021 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-66 Rating 1496
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
57-79 Rating 1443
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 259 220
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 135 136
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.2
Win percentage 51% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 53%