Final Score: Pirates 6 - Phillies 12
Thursday, September 23, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-94 Rating 1420
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
78-74 Rating 1496
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 327 303
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 4 15

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 151 152
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 38% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 57%