Final Score: Marlins 3 - Mets 12
Thursday, September 30, 2021 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
65-93 Rating 1437
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.7
Mets
75-83 Rating 1477
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 225 255
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 41% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 57%