Final Score: Phillies 5 - Marlins 0
Friday, October 1, 2021 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
81-78 Rating 1493
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
65-94 Rating 1435
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 260 220
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 51% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%