Final Score: Phillies 3 - Braves 5
Thursday, September 30, 2021 at 7:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
81-77 Rating 1495
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.8
Braves
85-72 Rating 1543
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 367 402
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 158 157
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.1
Win percentage 51% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%