Final Score: Pirates 2 - Rays 3
Thursday, May 4, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
20-11 Rating 1450
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.4
Rays
25-6 Rating 1566
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Rays
All-time wins 9 11
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 5.2 4.6
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Rays
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 5.1 6.7
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.0
Win percentage 65% 81%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 89%