Final Score: Phillies 8 - Rays 4
Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
45-39 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
57-31 Rating 1563
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 17 23
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 84 88
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 54% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 76%