Final Score: Phillies 3 - Rays 1
Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
46-39 Rating 1530
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
57-32 Rating 1561
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 18 23
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 8 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 85 89
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 54% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 74%