Final Score: Phillies 4 - Pirates 6
Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
56-48 Rating 1529
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Pirates
46-58 Rating 1430
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 313 330
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 104 104
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 54% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 47%