Final Score: Pirates 7 - Reds 5
Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
72-81 Rating 1450
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
79-75 Rating 1481
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 373 420
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.0
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 47%