Final Score: Pirates 5 - Cubs 4
Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
19-25 Rating 1451
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
25-19 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 471 444
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 44 44
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 43% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 68%