Final Score: Phillies 5 - Cubs 3
Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
56-29 Rating 1563
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Cubs
39-47 Rating 1482
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 339 304
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.5
Win percentage 66% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 54%