Final Score: Phillies 2 - Cubs 10
Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
57-29 Rating 1565
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Cubs
39-48 Rating 1480
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 340 304
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.5
Win percentage 66% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 52%