Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Marlins 5
Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
46-40 Rating 1509
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Marlins
30-56 Rating 1450
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Marlins
All-time wins 33 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.9 4.3
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Marlins
Games played 86 86
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 53% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 36%