Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Rays 4
Tuesday, April 15, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
8-10 Rating 1493
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
8-8 Rating 1520
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 256 226
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 1 16

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 18 16
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.7
Win percentage 44% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 62%