Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Astros 5
Tuesday, April 22, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
12-11 Rating 1500
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.6
Astros
11-11 Rating 1538
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Astros
All-time wins 35 45
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.8 5.3
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Astros
Games played 23 22
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.6
Win percentage 52% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%