Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Astros 3
Wednesday, April 23, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
12-12 Rating 1498
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
12-11 Rating 1540
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Astros
All-time wins 35 46
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.8 5.3
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Astros
Games played 24 23
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.5
Win percentage 50% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 57%