Final Score: Nationals 6 - Phillies 7
Tuesday, April 29, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
13-16 Rating 1453
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.2
Phillies
15-13 Rating 1541
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 457 499
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 29 28
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.4
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 69%