Final Score: Nationals 2 - Phillies 7
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
13-17 Rating 1452
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.2
Phillies
16-13 Rating 1543
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 457 500
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.5
Win percentage 43% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 71%