Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 2
Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET
Nationals @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 457 | 501 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 30 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 27% | 73% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs New York Mets
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 24
5-19
vs New York Mets
Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs New York Mets
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs New York Mets
Apr 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Phillies
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Washington Nationals
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Apr 25, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ New York Mets
Apr 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Mets
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ New York Mets
Apr 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 21
11-10