Final Score: Nationals 4 - Orioles 3
Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET
Nationals @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 52 | 64 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Nationals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 42 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 36% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 35% | 40% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Atlanta Braves
May 15, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Atlanta Braves
May 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Atlanta Braves
May 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Atlanta Braves
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 11, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 10, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 9, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 6, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Cleveland Guardians
May 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
Orioles
vs Minnesota Twins
May 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Minnesota Twins
May 14, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Minnesota Twins
May 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 11, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 10, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
May 9, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Minnesota Twins
May 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Minnesota Twins
May 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Minnesota Twins
May 6, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Kansas City Royals
May 4, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 17
6-11