Final Score: Mariners 5 - Astros 3
Friday, May 23, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
28-21 Rating 1528
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
26-24 Rating 1536
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Astros
All-time wins 91 132
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.7
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Astros
Games played 49 50
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 64%