Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 4
Monday, May 26, 2025 at 8:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-30 Rating 1448
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.3
Padres
29-22 Rating 1545
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 105 118
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 51 51
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.6 3.8
Win percentage 41% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 67%