Final Score: Marlins 6 - Padres 8
Tuesday, May 27, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-31 Rating 1447
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.3
Padres
30-22 Rating 1546
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 105 119
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 52 52
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.6 3.8
Win percentage 40% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 68%