Final Score: Marlins 10 - Padres 8
Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-32 Rating 1445
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.3
Padres
31-22 Rating 1548
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 105 120
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 53 53
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.6 3.9
Win percentage 40% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 69%