Final Score: Pirates 2 - Padres 3
Friday, May 30, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
21-36 Rating 1454
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.2
Padres
31-23 Rating 1545
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 274 243
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 57 54
Avg runs scored 3.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 37% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 67%