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Final Score: Braves 9 - Phillies 3
Thursday, May 29, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
25-29 Rating 1532
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
36-19 Rating 1562
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 433 395
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 54 55
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.0
Win percentage 46% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 70%

Recent Results

Braves

@ Philadelphia Phillies
May 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
May 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs San Diego Padres
May 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs San Diego Padres
May 24, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs San Diego Padres
May 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Nationals
May 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Washington Nationals
May 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Boston Red Sox
May 18, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Boston Red Sox
May 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Boston Red Sox
May 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2

Phillies

vs Atlanta Braves
May 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Atlanta Braves
May 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Athletics
May 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Athletics
May 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Athletics
May 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Rockies
May 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Colorado Rockies
May 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Colorado Rockies
May 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Colorado Rockies
May 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0