Final Score: Braves 4 - Red Sox 2
Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Braves @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
22-22 Rating 1540
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.3
Red Sox
22-23 Rating 1494
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Red Sox
All-time wins 44 50
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.8
Last meeting 0 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Red Sox
Games played 44 45
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.6
Win percentage 50% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 55%