Final Score: Braves 3 - Pirates 4
Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Braves @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
19-20 Rating 1541
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.7
Pirates
13-27 Rating 1449
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Pirates
All-time wins 276 253
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Pirates
Games played 39 40
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.5
Win percentage 49% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 38%