Final Score: Padres 4 - Pirates 0
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
21-11 Rating 1556
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Pirates
12-22 Rating 1455
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 242 274
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 32 34
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.4
Avg runs conceded 3.0 4.6
Win percentage 66% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 39%