Final Score: Cubs 8 - Pirates 3
Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 12:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
18-13 Rating 1517
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Pirates
12-19 Rating 1460
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 450 477
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 5.9 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 58% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 47%