Final Score: Cubs 3 - Pirates 4
Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
18-12 Rating 1519
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Pirates
11-19 Rating 1458
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 450 476
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 9 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 30 30
Avg runs scored 6.0 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 60% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 43%