Final Score: Padres 9 - Pirates 4
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
19-11 Rating 1552
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Pirates
12-20 Rating 1459
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 240 274
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 30 32
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.4
Avg runs conceded 3.0 4.6
Win percentage 63% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 44%