Final Score: Rays 1 - Padres 0
Friday, April 25, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Rays @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
11-14 Rating 1514
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
17-8 Rating 1556
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Padres
All-time wins 16 11
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.3 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Padres
Games played 25 25
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.0
Win percentage 44% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 92%