Final Score: Marlins 11 - Nationals 9
Friday, June 13, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
25-41 Rating 1438
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Nationals
30-38 Rating 1456
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 267 259
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 11 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 66 68
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.4 5.0
Win percentage 38% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 45%