Final Score: Marlins 3 - Pirates 2
Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
24-40 Rating 1437
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Pirates
27-40 Rating 1461
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Pirates
All-time wins 107 126
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Pirates
Games played 64 67
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.3
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.1
Win percentage 38% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%