Final Score: Astros 8 - Pirates 2
Thursday, June 5, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
33-28 Rating 1539
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.6
Pirates
23-39 Rating 1454
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 305 286
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 61 62
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.2
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.1
Win percentage 54% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 45%