Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Phillies 11
Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
38-32 Rating 1513
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
41-29 Rating 1548
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Phillies
All-time wins 50 39
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Phillies
Games played 70 70
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 54% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 64%