Final Score: Phillies 5 - Marlins 2
Monday, June 16, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
42-29 Rating 1550
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Marlins
28-41 Rating 1444
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 290 243
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 71 69
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.4
Win percentage 59% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 41%