Final Score: Padres 5 - Dodgers 3
Thursday, June 19, 2025 at 10:10 PM ET

Padres @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
39-34 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.8
Dodgers
46-29 Rating 1590
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Dodgers
All-time wins 433 535
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.6 4.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Dodgers
Games played 73 75
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 53% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 70%