Final Score: Royals 6 - Padres 5
Friday, June 20, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Royals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
37-38 Rating 1480
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
40-34 Rating 1541
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Padres
All-time wins 10 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 5.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Padres
Games played 75 74
Avg runs scored 3.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.6 3.9
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 64%