Final Score: Reds 8 - Red Sox 4
Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
44-42 Rating 1493
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Red Sox
43-44 Rating 1497
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Red Sox
All-time wins 10 22
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.4 5.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Red Sox
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.6
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 57%