Final Score: Tigers 7 - Nationals 11
Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Tigers @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
54-33 Rating 1533
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.6
Nationals
36-50 Rating 1447
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Nationals
All-time wins 15 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 4.0
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Nationals
Games played 87 86
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.2
Win percentage 62% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 40%