Final Score: Nationals 3 - Padres 4
Tuesday, June 24, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
33-46 Rating 1447
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.2
Padres
42-36 Rating 1539
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 268 246
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 79 78
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.0
Win percentage 42% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 62%