Final Score: Pirates 3 - Royals 4
Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-54 Rating 1462
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Kansas City Royals +0.4
Royals
44-48 Rating 1479
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Royals
All-time wins 22 24
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 5.3
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Royals
Games played 92 92
Avg runs scored 3.4 3.4
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.7
Win percentage 41% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 47%