Final Score: Padres 7 - Cardinals 9
Thursday, July 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM ET

Padres @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
55-47 Rating 1538
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Cardinals
52-51 Rating 1501
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cardinals
All-time wins 216 312
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.7 4.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cardinals
Games played 102 103
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.5
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 59%