Final Score: Phillies 2 - Padres 1
Sunday, July 13, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
54-41 Rating 1546
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
52-43 Rating 1542
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 295 230
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 95 95
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.9
Win percentage 57% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 65%