Final Score: Rangers 7 - Padres 4
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Rangers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
43-45 Rating 1491
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Padres
47-40 Rating 1540
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Padres
All-time wins 24 31
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Padres
Games played 88 87
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.5 3.9
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 65%