Final Score: Rangers 2 - Padres 3
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Rangers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
43-44 Rating 1492
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
46-40 Rating 1538
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Padres
All-time wins 24 30
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.5
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Padres
Games played 87 86
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.5 4.0
Win percentage 49% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 64%