Final Score: Reds 1 - Phillies 3
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
46-43 Rating 1496
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
52-37 Rating 1551
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 285 238
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 89 89
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%